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Red71
456424.0
542225.1
615324.3
Blue66
9545.3
776012.3
905611.3
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7564204060801007166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+3
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
48Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
71Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#10
25.10.4
17.918.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
blue by 20.2
95
#6
45.30.6
36.437.0
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
Second
6153
#15
24.30.4
23.824.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
red by 12.0
7760
#30
12.30.6
14.014.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
4564
#29
24.00.4
25.926.3
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
red by 12.7
9056
#28
11.30.6
9.910.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed