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Red132
404119.5
46741.1
12632.5
Blue56
973213.3
447324.6
107115.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93692040608010012014013256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+64Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +60
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
100Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
132Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#3
41.14.2
31.035.2
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 16.5
4473
#12
24.62.2
22.320.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
126
#11
32.54.2
27.031.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
red by 17.0
1071
#21
15.52.2
19.016.8
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Third
4041
#22
19.54.2
18.322.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
red by 6.1
9732
#17
13.32.2
18.216.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed