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Red117
17223.7
632972.0
905512.0
Blue56
802318.0
6124.6
172923.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124625010015020011756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points3
24Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +39
9Coral scored#4
31Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
63Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points6
117Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.7
63.163.8
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 47.4
61
#16
24.61.2
24.323.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
Second
172
#18
23.70.7
22.623.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
red by 0.4
1729
#23
23.31.0
21.420.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
9055
#26
12.00.7
16.016.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 6.0
8023
#24
18.01.2
12.411.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned