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Red95
16634.6
542225.1
616115.6
Blue119
9545.3
417616.6
13146.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75106406010012014095119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +42
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points52
1Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
6Processor points30
12Net points20
18Algae points50
60Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
95Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#7
34.60.9
32.933.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
blue by 12.3
131
#4
46.81.3
36.938.3
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
5422
#10
25.10.9
18.219.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
blue by 20.2
95
#6
45.31.3
37.038.3
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
Third
6161
#20
15.61.1
21.622.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
blue by 1.0
4176
#13
16.61.3
21.122.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed