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Red28
905611.3
973213.3
568738.8
Blue90
17223.7
776012.3
5845.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629102040801001201401602890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
20Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points34
28Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#14
38.83.3
23.019.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
blue by 6.5
58
#8
45.32.3
29.827.4
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
9732
#17
13.33.3
16.913.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 10.4
172
#18
23.72.3
28.526.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
Third
9056
#28
11.33.3
17.414.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 1.0
7760
#30
12.32.3
18.716.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned