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Red51
107115.5
669119.6
6124.6
Blue37
404119.5
23816.8
542225.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871204060801001205137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
24Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
4Foul points0
51Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#16
24.61.8
24.222.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
blue by 0.5
5422
#10
25.12.9
20.417.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Second
19.61.8
17.115.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 0.2
4041
#22
19.52.9
26.623.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
Third
1071
#21
15.51.8
21.820.0
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 1.3
238
#25
16.82.9
12.910.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed