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Red85
615324.3
13146.8
616115.6
Blue75
905512.0
359720.5
9545.3
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948140601001201408575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
55Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
85Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
46.80.5
36.836.3
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
red by 1.5
95
#6
45.30.6
30.930.2
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
Second
6153
#15
24.30.5
27.026.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
red by 3.7
3597
#27
20.50.6
21.921.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Third
6161
#20
15.60.5
17.517.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
red by 3.6
9055
#26
12.00.6
19.318.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed