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Red76
417616.6
16634.6
776012.3
Blue145
632972.0
172923.3
973213.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70942040608012014016018076145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#13
31Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
53Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points18
76Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#7
34.60.0
24.724.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
blue by 37.4
72.03.7
51.455.1
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
Second
4176
#13
16.60.0
24.324.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 6.7
1729
#23
23.33.7
17.220.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
7760
#30
12.30.0
16.416.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 1.0
9732
#17
13.33.7
13.617.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned