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Qual 322025 NE District Southern Maine Event
Red101
331436.4
23816.8
17223.7
Blue125
13146.8
776012.3
46741.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85101406080120140101125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+46
Endgame+44
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#23
31Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
49Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
20Foul points0
101Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#9
36.41.0
43.2→42.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
blue by 10.4
131
#4
46.83.1
38.3→41.3
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
172
#18
23.71.0
23.3→22.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
blue by 17.4
467
#3
41.13.1
35.2→38.3
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
Third
238
#25
16.80.8
11.1→10.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
red by 4.5
7760
#30
12.33.1
13.5→16.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned