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Red70
616115.6
5845.3
802318.0
Blue79
905611.3
19061.7
447324.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74974060801201407079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
52Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
70Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
45.30.1
34.935.0
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
blue by 16.4
190
#2
61.70.6
54.654.0
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
Second
8023
#24
18.00.1
11.211.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
blue by 6.7
4473
#12
24.60.8
20.119.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Third
6161
#20
15.60.1
22.722.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
red by 4.3
9056
#28
11.30.8
11.010.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned