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Red75
6124.6
404119.5
456424.0
Blue133
615324.3
19061.7
802318.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710620408012014016075133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#7
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points2
75Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#16
24.60.4
19.318.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
blue by 37.2
190
#2
61.72.3
54.056.3
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
Second
4564
#29
24.00.4
24.724.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
blue by 0.2
6153
#15
24.32.9
24.127.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
Third
4041
#22
19.50.4
19.519.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
red by 1.5
8023
#24
18.02.9
11.414.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned