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Red122
568738.8
13146.8
5845.3
Blue58
359720.5
107115.5
16634.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117722040608010014016018012258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points37
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
85Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
122Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
46.81.8
41.343.2
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
red by 12.3
166
#7
34.60.8
33.132.3
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Second
58
#8
45.31.8
35.036.8
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
red by 24.8
3597
#27
20.51.1
19.017.9
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Third
5687
#14
38.81.4
28.129.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 23.3
1071
#21
15.51.1
16.315.3
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed