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Red143
19061.7
264835.5
23816.8
Blue129
447324.6
172923.3
568738.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11274204060100120140160180143129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
99Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
143Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#2
61.73.0
56.359.3
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 22.9
5687
#14
38.84.1
29.533.6
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Second
2648
#19
35.53.9
30.234.1
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
red by 10.9
4473
#12
24.65.4
21.426.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Third
238
#25
16.83.3
10.413.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 6.5
1729
#23
23.34.1
17.021.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned