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Red57
776012.3
359720.5
973213.3
Blue102
542225.1
13146.8
12632.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5111202040608010012014016057102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+51
Endgame+47
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +44
7Coral scored#20
26Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
42Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#10
1L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
2Foul points0
57Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#27
20.50.5
17.917.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
blue by 26.3
131
#4
46.80.2
43.242.9
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
9732
#17
13.30.5
17.016.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 19.1
126
#11
32.50.2
32.332.0
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Third
7760
#30
12.30.5
13.913.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 12.8
5422
#10
25.10.2
17.917.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed