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Red80
905512.0
16634.6
669119.6
Blue51
456424.0
107115.5
616115.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71720204060801001201401608051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
48Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points2
80Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#7
34.60.5
32.332.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
red by 10.5
4564
#29
24.02.0
24.422.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
Second
19.60.7
18.719.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
red by 4.1
6161
#20
15.62.0
22.120.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Third
9055
#26
12.00.7
11.011.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 3.5
1071
#21
15.52.0
15.313.3
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed