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Qual 482025 NE District Southern Maine Event
Red82
23816.8
973213.3
13146.8
Blue96
417616.6
456424.0
669119.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9672204060801201401608296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
74Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
82Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
46.80.7
42.9→42.2
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
red by 22.8
4564
#29
24.01.8
22.4→24.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
Second
238
#25
16.80.5
15.8→15.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 2.8
6691
#5
19.61.8
19.4→21.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
9732
#17
13.30.7
16.5→15.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 3.3
4176
#13
16.61.8
17.2→19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed