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Red108
16634.6
9545.3
615324.3
Blue97
17223.7
359720.5
12632.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119785010015020010897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave0
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
55Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
108Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.30.1
41.841.6
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
red by 12.9
126
#11
32.51.4
32.033.4
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Second
166
#7
34.60.1
32.832.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
red by 10.9
172
#18
23.71.4
23.625.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
Third
6153
#15
24.30.1
26.426.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
red by 3.7
3597
#27
20.51.4
17.418.8
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned