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Qual 512025 NE District Southern Maine Event
Red182
5845.3
404119.5
632972.0
Blue170
13146.8
6124.6
19061.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135138100120160180182170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +27
28Coral scored#18
102Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
12Processor points18
24Net points28
36Algae points46
138Total teleop111
Reef
17L4#6
7L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
182Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#1
72.04.0
67.3→71.2
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 10.3
190
#2
61.72.4
59.1→61.5
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
Second
58
#8
45.34.0
38.2→42.1
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
blue by 1.5
131
#4
46.82.9
42.2→45.1
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Third
4041
#22
19.54.0
16.1→20.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
blue by 5.1
61
#16
24.62.9
20.3→23.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned