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Red31
417616.6
905611.3
802318.0
Blue101
23816.8
568738.8
16634.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5497015031101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+44
Endgame+66
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
16Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
2Foul points6
31Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8023
#24
18.02.0
20.018.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
blue by 20.8
5687
#14
38.80.5
36.436.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Second
4176
#13
16.62.0
19.017.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 17.9
166
#7
34.60.5
32.733.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
9056
#28
11.32.0
12.410.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 5.5
238
#25
16.80.5
15.315.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned