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Red68
973213.3
542225.1
17223.7
Blue24
669119.6
616115.6
447324.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75790501001502006824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
37Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#5
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
68Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#10
25.10.4
23.823.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 0.5
4473
#12
24.63.8
26.422.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
172
#18
23.70.4
25.024.6
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
red by 4.1
19.63.8
21.117.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
9732
#17
13.30.4
15.815.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 2.3
6161
#20
15.63.8
19.715.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed