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Red88
107115.5
9545.3
264835.5
Blue72
359720.5
456424.0
172923.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101680501508872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
66Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points12
88Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.30.1
41.641.6
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
red by 21.3
4564
#29
24.00.4
24.223.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
Second
2648
#19
35.50.1
33.733.6
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
red by 12.2
1729
#23
23.30.3
21.621.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Third
1071
#21
15.50.1
13.313.2
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 5.0
3597
#27
20.50.4
18.818.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned