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Red87
6124.6
568738.8
905512.0
Blue101
13146.8
12632.5
905611.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73101020406012014016087101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
50Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
87Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#14
38.81.2
36.938.1
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
blue by 8.0
131
#4
46.81.0
45.146.1
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
61
#16
24.61.3
23.324.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End6.2
blue by 7.9
126
#11
32.51.0
31.932.9
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Third
9055
#26
12.01.3
9.110.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
red by 0.6
9056
#28
11.31.0
10.311.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed