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Red80
776012.3
404119.5
616115.6
Blue115
46741.1
802318.0
16634.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50110010015080115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +40
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
37Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
18Foul points0
80Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#22
19.50.3
20.019.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
blue by 21.7
467
#3
41.10.4
39.239.5
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
Second
6161
#20
15.60.3
15.915.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.6
blue by 19.0
166
#7
34.60.3
33.233.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
7760
#30
12.30.3
12.712.3
Auto1.9
Teleop8.2
End2.3
blue by 5.7
8023
#24
18.00.4
18.018.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned