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Red121
23816.8
632972.0
417616.6
Blue119
19061.7
456424.0
17223.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11612550100150200121119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
69Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points6
121Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.4
71.271.6
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 10.3
190
#2
61.70.1
61.561.3
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
Second
238
#25
16.80.3
15.816.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 7.2
4564
#29
24.00.2
23.823.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
Third
4176
#13
16.60.4
17.017.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 7.1
172
#18
23.70.2
24.624.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned