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Red104
542225.1
264835.5
359720.5
Blue58
973213.3
331436.4
615324.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848805010015020010458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+68Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +72
19Coral scored#3
67Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
93Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
9L3#1
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
104Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#19
35.52.1
33.635.7
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
blue by 0.9
36.41.5
38.436.9
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
Second
5422
#10
25.11.9
23.525.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 0.8
6153
#15
24.31.5
24.823.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7
Third
3597
#27
20.52.1
18.420.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.5
red by 7.2
9732
#17
13.31.5
15.413.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned