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Red182
19061.7
456424.0
632972.0
Blue65
447324.6
417616.6
17223.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1796305010015020025018265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+103Teleop
+117Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +79
18Coral scored#9
63Coral points34
4Processor algae#1
9Net algae#1
24Processor points6
36Net points4
60Algae points10
123Total teleop44
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#3
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +117
0Foul points0
182Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.4
71.672.0
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 47.4
4473
#12
24.60.2
24.824.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
190
#2
61.70.4
61.361.7
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 38.0
172
#18
23.70.2
24.424.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
Third
4564
#29
24.00.4
23.624.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
red by 7.4
4176
#13
16.60.2
17.417.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1