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Red78
264835.5
107115.5
669119.6
Blue104
5845.3
16634.6
615324.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7511905010015078104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+6
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
66Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
78Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#19
35.50.1
35.735.8
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
blue by 9.8
58
#8
45.30.0
44.344.3
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
19.60.1
19.919.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
blue by 14.9
166
#7
34.60.0
33.533.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
1071
#21
15.50.1
15.715.8
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 8.8
6153
#15
24.30.0
23.223.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7