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Red126
905512.0
9545.3
46741.1
Blue88
107115.5
264835.5
669119.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117505010015012688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
65Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +38
8Foul points6
126Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.30.4
44.344.7
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
red by 9.8
2648
#19
35.50.2
35.335.5
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
Second
467
#3
41.10.4
40.140.5
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 21.5
19.60.2
19.419.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
9055
#26
12.00.4
10.911.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 3.5
1071
#21
15.50.2
15.315.5
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0