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Red124
905512.0
9545.3
46741.1
Blue143
5845.3
16634.6
615324.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105114050150200124143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
63Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points12
124Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.30.6
44.745.3
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
Level
58
#8
45.30.6
44.645.2
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
467
#3
41.10.6
40.541.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 6.5
166
#7
34.60.6
33.834.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
9055
#26
12.00.6
11.412.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 12.3
6153
#15
24.30.6
23.524.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7