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Red104
905512.0
9545.3
46741.1
Blue120
568738.8
13146.8
23816.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081088090100120130140150104120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
44Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +16
14Foul points18
104Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#6
45.30.1
44.444.3
Auto13.0
Teleop28.0
End4.3
blue by 1.5
131
#4
46.80.1
45.445.5
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
Second
467
#3
41.10.1
40.240.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.3
End8.7
red by 2.3
5687
#14
38.80.1
37.437.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
Third
9055
#26
12.00.1
11.010.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.1
End3.1
blue by 4.8
238
#25
16.80.1
15.415.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0