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Red171
19061.7
456424.0
632972.0
Blue126
5845.3
16634.6
615324.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17410350150200250171126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+59Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points44
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
24Processor points12
16Net points4
40Algae points16
105Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#3
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
171Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.0
72.072.0
Auto18.9
Teleop44.6
End8.5
red by 26.7
58
#8
45.30.4
44.344.7
Auto6.5
Teleop32.7
End6.1
Second
190
#2
61.70.0
61.761.7
Auto17.9
Teleop36.0
End7.8
red by 27.2
166
#7
34.60.4
33.534.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End7.6
Third
4564
#29
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.6
End1.1
blue by 0.2
6153
#15
24.30.4
23.223.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.8
End7.7