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Red79
542225.1
404119.5
172923.3
Blue98
331436.4
12632.5
802318.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791050501502007998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+29
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
53Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +19
12Foul points2
79Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#10
25.10.3
25.425.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.6
End2.0
blue by 11.3
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
Second
1729
#23
23.30.3
23.623.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
blue by 9.2
126
#11
32.50.0
32.432.4
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Third
4041
#22
19.50.3
19.819.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.8
red by 1.5
8023
#24
18.00.0
17.917.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3