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Red38
973213.3
417616.6
17223.7
Blue57
107115.5
264835.5
669119.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64850501001503857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+17
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
19Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points8
38Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#18
23.70.5
24.223.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End6.8
blue by 11.8
2648
#19
35.50.5
35.835.3
Auto4.7
Teleop30.9
End-0.1
Second
4176
#13
16.60.5
17.216.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 3.0
19.60.5
19.919.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.3
End2.7
Third
9732
#17
13.30.5
13.813.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 2.2
1071
#21
15.50.5
15.815.3
Auto2.4
Teleop12.1
End1.0