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Red69
568738.8
13146.8
23816.8
Blue67
331436.4
12632.5
802318.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114984060801401601806967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
39Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
69Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
46.80.7
46.145.4
Auto7.4
Teleop37.0
End2.4
red by 10.4
36.40.5
36.936.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.5
End7.5
Second
5687
#14
38.80.7
38.137.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.1
End4.5
red by 6.3
126
#11
32.50.5
32.932.4
Auto5.1
Teleop25.2
End2.2
Third
238
#25
16.80.7
16.115.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.0
blue by 1.2
8023
#24
18.00.5
18.417.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.3
End4.3