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Red147
632983.3
5019.8
568765.0
Blue160
490961.5
581367.9
802324.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167162140150170180190200147160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+25
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points56
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
58Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +13
12Foul points0
147Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.5
83.382.8
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 15.4
67.90.1
68.568.6
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
Second
65.00.5
64.964.4
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 3.4
61.50.1
62.162.2
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Third
501
#28
9.80.5
9.79.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 15.1
8023
#20
24.90.1
25.525.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1