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Red198
632983.3
5019.8
568765.0
Blue157
802324.9
581367.9
490961.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165163150160170180190198157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points40
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +48
31Coral scored#16
111Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
137Total teleop89
Reef
12L4#9
13L3#5
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +41
8Foul points2
198Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.8
82.583.3
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 15.4
67.90.0
68.568.5
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
Second
65.00.8
64.164.9
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 3.4
61.50.0
62.162.1
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Third
501
#28
9.80.8
8.99.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 15.1
8023
#20
24.90.0
25.525.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1