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Red168
802324.9
581367.9
490961.5
Blue163
13351.5
767431.8
456446.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16913680100120160180200220168163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+7Teleop
+17Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
91Total teleop98
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#8
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points12
168Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.3
68.268.5
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 16.5
133
#6
51.50.5
50.951.5
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Second
61.50.3
61.862.1
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
red by 15.3
46.20.5
45.746.2
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Third
8023
#20
24.90.3
25.225.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 6.9
7674
#15
31.80.5
31.331.8
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8