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Red161
13351.5
767431.8
456446.2
Blue142
252321.6
264847.9
5852.8
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112980100120160180200161142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points73
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
119Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#10
9L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#32
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
161Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
51.50.8
50.250.9
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
blue by 1.4
58
#7
52.80.5
52.352.8
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
Second
46.20.8
44.945.7
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
blue by 1.7
2648
#16
47.90.5
47.547.9
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Third
7674
#15
31.80.8
30.531.3
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
red by 10.3
2523
#29
21.60.5
21.121.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0