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Red70
910131.9
802324.9
1010812.3
Blue154
568765.0
264847.9
130727.0
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410605015070154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+68
Endgame+78
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +57
11Coral scored#20
41Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
55Total teleop112
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points6
70Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#21
31.90.3
23.323.0
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
blue by 33.0
65.02.8
42.445.2
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
Second
8023
#20
24.90.2
21.721.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 23.1
2648
#16
47.92.8
39.442.1
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Third
12.30.3
16.916.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 14.6
1307
#18
27.04.6
13.718.3
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned