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Qual 112025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red224
632983.3
456446.2
905524.9
Blue143
454636.8
973224.7
271340.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1388850100150200224143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+83Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave3
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +51
36Coral scored#16
128Coral points57
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
18Processor points30
20Net points28
38Algae points58
166Total teleop115
Reef
21L4#8
10L3#5
5L2#3
7L1 · trough#2
51Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
224Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#1
83.35.2
75.7→80.8
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 42.6
2713
#12
40.82.2
37.5→39.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Second
4564
#5
46.25.2
27.7→32.9
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
red by 9.5
4546
#14
36.83.6
23.7→27.3
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Third
9055
#24
24.95.2
13.7→18.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
red by 0.2
9732
#10
24.72.2
17.0→19.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned