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Qual 102025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red116
404128.7
13351.5
767431.8
Blue103
490961.5
1006622.5
252321.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031196080140160180116103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
65Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
12Foul points0
116Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
51.51.7
42.1→43.8
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
blue by 10.1
4909
#4
61.50.3
58.8→59.1
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Second
7674
#15
31.81.7
22.9→24.7
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
red by 9.3
10066
#13
22.50.4
19.3→19.7
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
Third
4041
#11
28.71.0
23.3→24.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
red by 7.2
2523
#29
21.60.4
21.1→21.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed