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Red102
615329.5
910131.9
264847.9
Blue123
791316.9
5852.8
568765.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8812750100150200102123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
86Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points6
102Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
47.90.3
39.139.4
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
blue by 17.0
65.00.2
42.642.4
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
Second
9101
#21
31.90.5
22.823.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
blue by 20.9
58
#7
52.80.2
46.246.0
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
Third
6153
#23
29.50.3
23.824.2
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
red by 12.6
7913
#27
16.90.3
25.525.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned