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Red141
790710.5
632983.3
447327.0
Blue123
5019.8
271340.8
581367.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811550100150200250141123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points70
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
95Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#6
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
141Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.1
75.675.7
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 15.4
67.90.2
53.854.0
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
Second
4473
#19
27.00.1
24.224.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 13.7
2713
#12
40.80.2
37.237.5
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
7907
#17
10.50.2
21.721.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 0.8
501
#28
9.80.2
12.813.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed