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Qual 72025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red56
616118.4
905524.9
802324.9
Blue115
17240.9
456446.2
973224.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57760204010012014056115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+47
Endgame+61
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +30
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
43Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
2Foul points0
56Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9055
#24
24.90.2
13.5→13.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
blue by 21.3
4564
#5
46.23.3
24.4→27.7
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Second
8023
#20
24.90.2
21.5→21.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 16.0
172
#8
40.93.3
27.3→30.6
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Third
6161
#26
18.40.2
15.9→16.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 6.3
9732
#10
24.73.3
13.7→17.0
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned