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Red101
791316.9
581367.9
492516.1
Blue133
490961.5
5852.8
13351.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9416350150200101133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
56Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
8Foul points18
101Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.0
54.054.0
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 6.4
61.52.3
59.156.8
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Second
7913
#27
16.90.1
25.225.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 35.9
58
#7
52.82.3
46.043.7
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
Third
4925
#25
16.10.0
14.514.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 35.3
133
#6
51.53.8
43.840.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed