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Red151
568765.0
130727.0
5852.8
Blue28
492516.1
84216.5
490961.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117835010015015128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+115Teleop
+123Endgame
+123Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +97
18Coral scored#2
63Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
8Net algae#1
12Processor points0
32Net points4
44Algae points4
107Total teleop10
Reef
8L4#2
7L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
33Game pieces#5
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +123
0Foul points0
151Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.02.5
45.247.7
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 3.4
61.53.9
56.853.0
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Second
58
#7
52.82.5
43.746.3
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
red by 36.7
4925
#25
16.13.9
14.410.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
1307
#18
27.04.2
18.322.5
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
red by 20.5
8421
#30
6.56.5
9.63.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed