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Red128
456446.2
1006622.5
16644.9
Blue148
802324.9
264847.9
632983.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8416850100150200250128148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
29Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +20
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points57
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
81Total teleop101
Reef
10L4#8
4L3#8
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points0
128Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.3
32.935.2
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
blue by 37.1
83.30.5
80.880.3
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
Second
166
#9
44.92.3
33.035.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
blue by 3.0
2648
#16
47.90.5
42.141.6
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Third
22.53.9
16.320.2
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
blue by 2.4
8023
#20
24.90.5
21.521.0
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned