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Red52
5019.8
404128.7
905524.9
Blue54
791316.9
1010812.3
615329.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79746070901005254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
39Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
52Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#11
28.71.1
28.327.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
blue by 0.7
6153
#23
29.51.2
28.026.8
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Second
9055
#24
24.91.1
24.623.5
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
red by 8.0
7913
#27
16.91.7
18.316.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
501
#28
9.81.1
10.59.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 2.6
12.31.7
17.015.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned