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Red153
910131.9
616118.4
581367.9
Blue69
454636.8
767431.8
447327.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139240608010012014016018015369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+76Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +69
22Coral scored#11
80Coral points39
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
116Total teleop47
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
153Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.93.2
54.057.2
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 31.2
4546
#14
36.82.3
27.325.0
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Second
9101
#21
31.95.3
23.028.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
red by 0.1
7674
#15
31.82.3
27.525.2
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
Third
6161
#26
18.43.2
17.020.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 8.6
4473
#19
27.01.4
23.822.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed