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Red188
271340.8
490961.5
568765.0
Blue155
264847.9
16644.9
5852.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155130100120140180200220188155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points7
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#23
82Coral points82
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
118Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#9
10L3#8
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
188Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.02.4
47.750.1
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 12.1
58
#7
52.81.4
46.347.6
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
Second
61.52.4
53.055.3
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
red by 13.6
2648
#16
47.91.4
41.643.0
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Third
2713
#12
40.82.4
40.342.7
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
blue by 4.1
166
#9
44.91.4
35.336.7
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned